CEO Marc Bailey has received the following from Anna Ozog, Policy Adviser, International Aviation Negotiations Team the DfT.
As you will be aware, regardless of the outcome of the negotiations, from the 1st of January 2021, UK airlines will be required to obtain operating permits and authorisations from each EU Member State (plus EEA and Switzerland) they seek to operate to. Such permissions will be required for both scheduled and non-scheduled services. A number of EU Member States require scheduled permit applications to be submitted 30 days in advance. Furthermore, some Member States have an ‘accreditation’ process required well advance of approvals.
UK airlines have been made aware of these requirements. However, as a reminder we would also be grateful if you could strongly encourage your UK members to apply/contact the aeronautical authorities of the relevant States to understand their requirements, if they plan to operate to those States from the 1st of January 2021.
Similarly, permits will also be required for EU (plus EEA and Switzerland) airlines operating to the UK. Information on those requirements can be found here.
Please do not hesitate to get in touch with us, should you have any questions.
Policy Adviser, International Aviation Negotiations Team
In terms of flight activity, we are projecting that European business aviation trends, compared to 5-Year averages, are going to stagnate at around 20% below normal until Jan, pick up to around 15% below, improve to 10% below-trend in the Spring, and within 5% during the summer, although we still expect some seasonal virus concerns to hold back a full recovery until Spring 2022. Scheduled Airline activity is going to have a much weaker recovery in Europe, with even the ‘vaccine’ scenario seeing at least 30% demand-suppression in 2022 and no full recovery before 2024.
The UK is at the negative end of this projection in our view because its relatively more severe economic recession (now a double dip), and of course the hard Brexit risk.
Nov 1-15 2020 vs 2019 business aviation (jets and props) sectors and hours, European countries
Jan-Nov 2020 vs same period 2019, UK business aviation (jets and props) sectors, 7D trend
Nov 1-15 2020 vs 2019 business aviation (jets and props) sectors and hours, UK airports
Jan-Nov 2020 UK Business, Scheduled and Cargo Aviation (jets, props, pistons) all sectors